The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.

https://archive.is/Qc8RH

  • socsa@piefed.social
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    9
    ·
    edit-2
    24 hours ago

    He’s completely missing that betting on something like the pope isn’t like a random or skill based outcome. The cardinals could literally choose to pick based on the betting markets or even to profit from them if they really wanted to. Polymarket is smooth brain degeneracy for many, many reasons, but this is smooth brain degeneracy turned up to 11.